NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel

Publish date: 2024-05-04

NFL DFS season is in full swing as Week 11 approaches, and our expert analysts are breaking down NFL DFS lineup optimizer picks and projections for FanDuel and DraftKings. Sign up for RotoGrinders Premium for full access to our NFL lineup optimizer and fantasy football projections all season long.

It’s another week with four teams on bye, as ATL, IND, NEP, and NOS will get a breather and be out of DFS consideration. The theme of this week is guys coming back from injury and huge spreads, as seven of the eleven main slate games currently have spreads of 7 points or more. ARI/HOU is just under that range at 5.5, but does have the highest total of the slate, while PIT/CLE has one of the closest spreads at 1.5, but also a historically low game total of 32.5 currently.

is the biggest named expected to come off IR, as the Dolphins have the highest team total of the slate, and we know Achane has one of the highest ceilings in the league even if he gets limited touches his first game back. will return for Chicago, but against a stout Lions run defense and 7.5 point road underdogs, I’m steering clear of any Bears RB this week. will come off IR for Pittsburgh, but I will likely avoid him this week as he hasn’t eclipsed four targets in any game, and his worst game was the same matchup this week against CLE in week 2. Other less important guys that could come off IR are and .

will return which should be a nice boost for and this entire passing offense, while the Browns will go with at QB with Watson out for the year, making any Cleveland pass catcher a very risky play against Pittsburgh. is back after missing a game and getting healthy over the bye week and is an intriguing GPP play against Seattle in the third highest projected game total of the slate with just a 1 point spread.

Let’s get into some of my favorite plays of the slate!

NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks for DraftKings

With so many huge spreads we are loaded with choices at DST, but for the price, I think the Dolphins ($3,200) are about as cheap as I’d go for cash games, although the Jets ($2,600) are intriguing against the turnover-prone Allen if you need the extra salary. With no Kelce, Andrews, or Hockenson in play, we’re going to be saving salary at TE, so I like trying to get at least one elite RB or WR in cash games, while QB has some strong options at all price points, so it’ll depend on who you want to stack with one of your skill players and your salary available.

($5,800)

This is a smash spot for Robinson as a 9.5-point home favorite against a Giants defense allowing 368.5 yards/game and 131.2 rush yards/game. He also gets the benefit of less competition for touches as Gibson is doubtful with a toe injury, and coming off a floor/ceiling combo on a full PPR site. After going for 30.7 FP last game, I was expecting Robinson to be around $6.5k this week, especially given the matchup, so at under $6k looking at a huge workload, he is a steal and my favorite play of the slate for cash games.

($5,300) / ($5,900)

The Texans have the third-highest projected team total of the slate in a great home matchup with Arizona, so I’m looking to use at least one of, if not both, Singletary and Dell in cash games. Pierce is out again, so Singletary is looking at another huge workload after 31 touches last week, and he gets an even better matchup after putting up over 26 FP against the Bengals. Houston’s WRs have been in and out with injuries over the last few weeks, but this week, it’s looking like Dell, Collins, and Woods will be the top WRs, with Brown looking very iffy after no practice all week. Dell is easily my favorite p/$ play between the three, as he’s seen 11+ targets each of the last two weeks, and this will almost certainly be our last chance to play him for under $6k.

($6,100) / ($4,400)

Murray was solid in his season debut last week, going for 18+ FP, and after only increasing $200 in salary, he is my favorite cash game QB as the 10th most expensive option. As six-point underdogs in the highest projected game total of the slate, his upside is just too high against a Texans team allowing almost 250 pass yards/game, and his rushing upside just increases his floor and gives him the cash game edge over the other QBs in his price range. My favorite skill player to stack with Murray is McBride, as he turned in a huge 8-131 line on 9 targets last week, and even though his price did increase by $900, it’s still way too cheap as the likely top target getter for a team that will have to throw a lot to keep up with Houston.

NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks for FanDuel

ARI/HOU is still my favorite game to target, with Murray ($7,600)/McBride ($5,900) my favorite value stack, and Singletary ($6,500)/Dell ($7,000) the best p/$ Texans plays. ($7,200) remains a steal, and I’m currently on the Browns DST ($4,500) for my main build, but if you need to save a bit more salary I don’t mind dropping to MIA ($4,200), PIT ($4,000), SF ($4,000), or even NYJ ($3,700).

($7,200)

Playing in the third-highest projected scoring game of the slate with just a one-point spread, Metcalf’s price is just too good to pass up as he’s seen 10+ targets in three of his last four games, and TD variance is going to break his way sooner than later as he hasn’t scored since week 4. There is also a serious possibility that Lockett will miss this game with a hamstring injury after not practicing all week, and if so, then the majority of his 8 or so targets would go to Metcalf. Game environment, target share, and the possible ceiling bump if Lockett sits, have Metcalf as a must-play in cash games for me at a great price.

($7,100)

Until FanDuel stops pricing Hall below the top 10, he continues to be a top cash game target, especially against a Bills team that’s been worse against the run than the pass. In week 1, Hall put up 147 total yards on just 11 touches against this Bills team, and due to injuries, they are even weaker on defense overall this time around. The Jets also just released Carter, so I’m expecting an even bigger bump in usage for Hall, and the fact that this is as close to a must-win game as it can get for the Jets sitting at 4-5 should mean more touches for their best players. A big role, solid matchup, and great price have Hall as a top cash game target for me, and I’ll likely use him along with Singletary and Robinson at RB/Flex.

($6,800)

Moore has been another favorite of mine all year for cash games, and after seeing a $400 price drop the same week he gets Fields back at QB, I think he is primed for a monster game as 7.5-point underdogs against a pass-funnel Lions defense. Moore’s last two full games with Fields saw him go for 45 FP and 23.1 FP on 19 total targets, and with the game script and matchup likely heavily favoring the Bears’ passing game, we should see multiple deep ball attempts along with plenty of short targets that Moore can take to the house from anywhere.

Use Our DFS Lineup Optimizer for Week 11

Make sure to check out our in-house NFL DFS lineup optimizer, LineupHQ, to get a great look at even more top projected plays. It is by far the best place to build a large number of lineups quickly using your personalized build rules, ownership preferences, and stacks you want covered. You can also look at projected ownership to help you decide between players if you’d rather get leverage on the field with someone likely to see much lower ownership than similar plays at his position or price point.

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